Good connections key to startup success -Report

Dr. Lucas Lacasa, Reader in Applied Mathematics and Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) Early Career Fellow at Queen Mary

The future potential of early stage startups can be assessed by their existing professional relationships, research led by a team at Queen Mary University of London suggests.

Dr. Lucas Lacasa, Reader in Applied Mathematics and Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) Early Career Fellow at Queen Mary
Dr. Lucas Lacasa, Reader in Applied Mathematics and Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) Early Career Fellow at Queen Mary

Using available online data from 41,380 companies collected over 25 years, the research team created a visual network to show connections between companies and their employees.

They found that young startups who quickly acquire a central position within the network are more likely to show signs of long-term economic success.

The team then used this approach to develop success prediction algorithms, which were shown to be two to three times more accurate when predicting future economic performance than current labour-intensive screening methods adopted by venture capital firms.

The findings were published yesterday in Scientific Reports.

Startups were ranked based on their values of ‘closeness centrality’, which measures the average distance of one company from other firms within the network. Results indicate the predictive link between rankings and long term success, with 30% of the top 20 firms each month achieving a positive economic outcome within seven years.

The researchers were able to validate their approach by reviewing the rankings of well-known successful companies such as Facebook, Uber and Airbnb over time. They discovered that these companies swiftly moved to high ranking positions soon after they were founded.

Data on funding rounds, acquisitions and initial public offerings were all used as measures of startup success.

Dr. Moreno Bonaventura, former Ph.D. student at Queen Mary and Chief Scientist at Startup Network, said: 

“The people within a company, be it investors, employees or advisors, bring with them experience from other firms on effective strategies, know-how on cutting-edge technologies, and their own personal contacts. Global networks are the backbone through which knowledge is gained and shared, and this information can be used to build predictive intelligence on the future economic performance of young companies.”

Dr. Lucas Lacasa, Reader in Applied Mathematics and Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) Early Career Fellow at Queen Mary, said: 

“Traditionally historic reports on sales, growth or market size are used to predict future success but with startups this level of data usually isn’t available. Instead measures such as the qualifications and attributes of founding entrepreneurs are used, which can be subjective as well as labour-intensive. We propose that this novel, data-driven approach could complement existing screening approaches used by investors and we anticipate that further refinements could improve the prediction accuracy even more.”

Research conducted by Queen Mary, University of London 

 

Charles Rapulu Udoh

Charles Rapulu Udoh is a Lagos-based lawyer who has advised startups across Africa on issues such as startup funding (Venture Capital, Debt financing, private equity, angel investing etc), taxation, strategies, etc. He also has special focus on the protection of business or brands’ intellectual property rights ( such as trademark, patent or design) across Africa and other foreign jurisdictions.
He is well versed on issues of ESG (sustainability), media and entertainment law, corporate finance and governance.
He is also an award winning writer.
He could be contacted at udohrapulu@gmail.com

These 5 Avoidable Mistakes Can Increase Your Startup Success

Startup success or failure is mostly dependent on founders’ hustle, resources and decision making. While external and uncontrollable factors can sometimes play a big role in the performance of a startup, rarely will a startup suddenly fail or succeed independently from entrepreneurs’ actions.

Every entrepreneur is prone to making bad decisions no matter their knowledge or experience. The 5 common mistakes listed below are fully controllable and easily avoidable. Here’s a reminder of what can negatively affect your startup success.

1. Short-Term Success

It’s easy to score a quick win even with just an idea. Every hard-working entrepreneur can hustle to get the first paying customers just by knocking on doors and selling a vision. Furthermore, today, anyone can build a product with or without a budget. The hardest part is building a sustainable startup. Follow these general business rules:

  1. Start with a vision but set one short-term goal at a time.
  2. Break down short-term goals into small achievable milestones and celebrate the small wins.
  3. Be open for change.
  4. Understand that one startup failure is one step closer to building a different sustainable startup even if the ideas are completely different.
  5. Surround yourself with customers or future buyers since day 1. Let them help you build the product as if they’re co-founders in the venture.
  6. Virtually any idea or feature can be tested before development. Pay attention to those validation signals and avoid convincing yourself that if you build it, things will change.
  7. Work with the best. If you can’t afford working with the best, hire them as mentors and team leads.
2. Premature Growth

It’s easy to fake and justify startup success with resources. If you have funds, you can force an undesirable solution into a market and see a growing number of customers even if the numbers don’t add up. Many startups failed waiting for the time their customer lifetime value exceeds acquisition costs. Research shows that 70% of startups fail because of premature growth.

Instead, focus on building the foundation even if it takes years. The foundation of a startup is a product people use, recommend and pay for. Achieving those three pillars takes a series of product iterations. Once you’re there, even with just a few customers, it won’t be hard to scale to the next hundred and thousand buyers. The other way around is detrimental to a startup.

Image result for startup Africa

3. Hiring The Cheapest

Usually, the biggest portion of a startup investment is allocated to product development. It can be enticing to bet on a team who seem like they might be able to get the job done just because the cost of hiring the best is higher.

In reality, over the long run, the cost of hiring underqualified candidates can be significantly higher than the premium price paid for the right talent. Redevelopment, miscommunication, mistakes and slack will cost time and money.

Instead, even if you can’t hire the best, get them involved as advisors and guides to your team. Even if they don’t do the work, their leadership will increase the probability of success of your product and startup.

4. Picking The Wrong Battle

Building a successful startup is a challenging endeavor. To improve the odds of success, entrepreneurs are better off focusing on products where they can control most of the variables. For instance, entrepreneurs that aim to launch a startup in a new space will take more time to understand the market than founders who focus on areas they’re familiar with.

Creating products that help you overcome your own challenges is a good start. It is a great way to solve problems you are passionate about. Since longevity is a key ingredient of startup success, picking a battle you know you can compete in for many years is how you will succeed in business.

5. Long Performance Evaluation Cycles

There is always something that can be done to improve a product. The truth is, there is no such thing as a perfect product and long development cycles will only delay customer interaction and feedback.

It costs time and money to test new hypotheses. Therefore, the more insights you can gather before product development and the more involved customers are, the more likely you will build the right features. Building and releasing quickly is how you can minimize risk and expenses.

Avoiding these 5 mistakes will significantly increase the probability of your startup success. The truth is, applying those rules is easier said than done. To make sure you are moving in the right direction and making the right decisions, surround yourself with mentors and likeminded entrepreneurs.

Abdo Riani is a product development expert and a founder. 

 

Charles Rapulu Udoh

Charles Rapulu Udoh is a Lagos-based Lawyer with special focus on Business Law, Intellectual Property Rights, Entertainment and Technology Law. He is also an award-winning writer. Working for notable organizations so far has exposed him to some of industry best practices in business, finance strategies, law, dispute resolution, and data analytics both in Nigeria and across the world

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